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Carsey School demographer Kenneth Johnson calculates that since the last election, about 195,000 of New Hampshires 1.1 million voters have departed from the state. They have been replaced with about 230,000 new voters. 70,000 of them are newly eligible voters while the other 160,000 are new residents. According to Johnson, one in five voters will be voting for the first time this election. He also states that the new voters that have moved to New Hampshire are more liberal than those that they replaced which could make a huge difference in a narrow race.